Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 22.480373 25.499465 28.795453 32.664343 37.085904 41.986734 47.838009
2025-01-26 18.312742 22.495857 27.458055 33.794280 41.693232 51.245898 63.720568
2025-02-02 15.758892 20.655707 26.872112 35.379895 46.779872 61.610233 82.500888
2025-02-09 13.559211 18.756479 25.738027 35.866043 50.290904 70.258689 100.274708
2025-02-16 11.551921 16.727544 24.022683 35.146903 51.845433 76.237960 115.043782
2025-02-23 10.035307 15.127935 22.617196 34.553862 53.330828 82.112958 130.301528
2025-03-02 8.858123 13.844761 21.463707 34.102846 54.848994 88.079041 146.385146
2025-03-09 7.988230 12.906867 20.691059 34.091375 56.973669 95.159875 165.173558
2025-03-16 7.236094 12.054583 19.931784 33.965151 58.825058 101.930031 184.288016
2025-03-23 6.841810 11.739856 20.002925 35.222984 63.169653 113.478759 213.582651
2025-03-30 6.315371 11.132877 19.497040 35.381914 65.528134 121.709704 237.787844
2025-04-06 5.699084 10.296294 18.489935 34.492706 65.796841 126.027307 254.879733
2025-04-13 5.197546 9.629622 17.744404 34.056809 66.981287 132.458872 277.704835
2025-04-20 4.958579 9.427846 17.840713 35.263884 71.590204 146.360782 318.618046
2025-04-27 4.791779 9.344715 18.151370 36.933110 77.367309 163.478285 369.475576
2025-05-04 4.510494 9.003922 17.916183 37.446008 80.759673 175.975765 411.914914
2025-05-11 4.130510 8.422328 17.131390 36.695002 81.281778 182.195344 440.504183
2025-05-18 3.803410 7.915693 16.446464 36.074978 82.008020 188.959624 471.544296
2025-05-25 3.522684 7.478094 15.860658 35.603222 83.008509 196.489630 505.794502
2025-06-01 3.306824 7.158573 15.495861 35.591306 85.095773 206.922295 549.465740
2025-06-08 3.101054 6.840426 15.100656 35.459249 86.868595 216.815376 593.409336
2025-06-15 3.017095 6.788207 15.299030 36.775622 92.449575 237.237516 670.597610
2025-06-22 2.859390 6.550088 15.043472 36.941962 95.087847 250.301428 728.860788